Moonee Valley Wet Trail Form Guide

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Melbourne suffered a heavy downpour on Friday evening, causing the track to be downgraded from a strong 3 to a mild 6 at Moonee Valley.

With new rain forecasts on Saturday morning, chances are the track will be closer to a Soft 7 or even in the heavy range by the time the first race rolls around.

READ: Cox Plate Day preview and tips

Below are the horses best suited to traveling in the rain…

*Prices correct at time of publication


Race 2 – Bendigo Bank Handicap (1000m)

No. 4 – ASHFORD STREET ($7.50)

The consistent Ashford Street sprinter has won 7 races in his 21-start career – all on rain-affected tracks. The galloper trained at Ken Elford is five times winner on soft and is 2 out of 2 on heavy tracks. He is a quick backup after hitting a raging Asfoora at Caulfield last Saturday.

Teo Nugent (56kg)
Ken Elford
5 years (b) Moshe x Magic By Gosh

#2 – ANCESTRY ($18)

He’s the first in 300 days and isn’t the same horse he was before, but Ancestry likes the pot off the track. He won 3 out of 6 in soft – one of those here, beating Jungle Edge by 2.25L – and is a two-time winner in heavy.

Ancestry

Zac Spain (57kg)
Philip Stokes
6 years (b) The Brothers War x Maltese

Race 3 – Red G3 Anchor Pegs (1200m)

#6 – SHALAILED ($4)

This colt trained by O’Shea has not yet missed a place in four starts on a field affected by the rain. He beat his maiden on a Heavy 8 at Canterbury and rode through the very tough conditions at Caulfield on the final start to earn a spot in the G3 Blue Sapphire Stakes (1200m) with a chance of $26.

Shalailed

Nash Rawiller (57kg)
John O’Shea
3 years (b) Shalaa x Unassailed

Race 4 – Crockett Stakes (1200m)

#3 – WILLINGA BEAST ($3.70)

Willinga Beast has been reserved exclusively for wet tracks in her six-start career to date. The Lees-trained filly had four hard knocks for a win and three minor placings. She was beaten to 0.15L and 0.19L in two of those heavy runs, and was rolled by the smart Best Of Bordeaux in a final Heavy 10 start.

Willinga Beast

Ben Melham (56kg)
Kris Lee
3 years (ch) Snitzel x Time Check

Race 6 – G2 Crystal Mile (1600m)

#1 – CALLSIGN MAV ($8)

‘Mav’ won the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m) on a Heavy 9 two starts ago and also beat G1 Tarzino (1400m) on a heavy deck in New Zealand.

Mav callsign

Jamie Mott (59kg)
Danny O’Brien
6 years old (b) Atlante x Raadisi

No. 4 – BUFFALO RIVER ($26)

He’s running below his best, but six of Buffalo River’s seven career wins have come on rain-affected ground. Damien Oliver’s return is interesting – he rode the gelding Moroney six times for four wins and two runners-up.

Buffalo River

Damien Olivier (59kg)
Michael Moroney
6 years (b) Noble Mission x Fashion Insider

No. 7 – VISINARI ($4.40)

‘Gray in the Wet’. Visinari had four tries on wet tracks and never missed a top two. He beat a handy wet tracker in Chief Altony on a Heavy 9 track at Sandown in June.

Visinari

Ben Melham (59kg)
Mick Price and Michael Kent (Jnr)
5 years (gr) Dark Angel x Visinada

No. 8 – BANKERS CHOICE ($6)

It’s a funny galloper, Bankers Choice. He is 0 out of 7 on the soft tracks, but is a two-time winner on the heavy and ran a cracker in this year’s G1 Doncaster (1600m) on a Heavy 9 surface. He seems to want it either quite firm or very wet .

Bankers' choice

Mark Zahra (59kg)
Michael Moroney
5 years (b) Mongol Khan x Signorina

Course 7 – G2 Drummond Golf Vase (2040m)

No. 3 – PERICLES ($4.80)

This son of Street Boss has only had two starts but both have been on heavy tracks and both have been very good. He was beaten by the smart Opal Ridge on a final Heavy 10 start but put over 5L on the rest.

Pericles

Jamie Kah (57kg)
James Cummings
3 years (br) Street Boss x Accessories

Race 8 – G2 Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m)

#9 – NERF NOT VERVE ($17)

She can mix up her form, but Nerve Not Verve is usually pretty consistent on rain-affected tracks. She has placed in 7 of her 14 soft track races and has strong heavy stats (6:2-2-0). She is also a three-time winner of The Valley.

Nerve not verve

Tim Clark (55kg)
Michael Moroney
7 years (b) Shocking x Bilancia

Race 9 – G1 Cox Plate (2040m)

#1 – ZAAKI ($5.50)

It handles all surfaces, but Zaaki has a brilliant record on trails rated Soft 7 or worse. He nearly won the G1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) on a bottomless bridge – crushing Anamoe – and was an easy winner in the G2 Tramway (1400m) on heavy earlier this campaign.

Zaaki

Jamie Kah (59kg)
Annabel Neasham
7 years old (b/br) Leroides Animaux x Kesara

#4 – MR BRIGHTSIDE ($14)

Ex-Kiwi Mr Brightside won the G1 Doncaster (1600m) on a Heavy 9 track and won 5 out of 8 on soft tracks. The Valley doesn’t mind either, winning 2 out of 2 including the G2 Feehan Stakes (1600m) by 4.5L.

Mr Brightside

Craig Williams (59kg)
Ben and JD Hayes
5 year old (b/br) Bullbars x Lilahjay

No. 10 – ANAMOE ($2.50)

He handles all surfaces, bottomless bar. The trail is unlikely to be really heavy unless we have an unexpected downpour in the afternoon.

Anamoe

James McDonald (57.5kg)
James Cummings
4yo (b/br) Street Boss x Anamato

No. 12 – EL BODEGON ($6)

The pocket rocket zooms down wet trails, with all three of its career wins coming on soft/heavy surfaces. He’s a Group 1 winner over this distance on really soft ground.

El Bodegon

Damien Olivier (56.5kg)
Chris Waller
3 years C (b) Kodiac x Al Andalyya

Race 10 – Stakes G3 Tesio (1600m)

#4 – SWEETNESS ($13)

Douceur is 0 out of 11 on the good tracks but 2 out of 2 on the heavy ones. She’s drawn to dive in the middle/outside of the track, which you’d imagine will be field A by race 10.

Candy

Harry Coffey (54kg)
Patrick Payne
4 yrs (b/br) No Nay Never x Danalicious

Race 11 – Stakes G1 Manikato (1200m)

No. 10 – BELLA NIPOTINA ($4.40)

This ultra-regular mare has placed in 5 of her 10 starts on soft tracks and is a two-time winner on heavy tracks. She won the Listed Norman Carlyon Stakes (1000m) on a Heavy 8 here in August.

Bella Nipotina

Craig Williams (56.5kg)
Ciaron Maher and David Eustache
5 years (ch) Pride of Dubai x Bella Orfana

N°13 – THE BEST OF BORDEAUX ($12)

It’s a small sample size, but Best Of Bordeaux won the G2 Silver Slipper (1100m) on a Soft 6 and then placed behind Fireburn in the G1 Golden Slipper (1200m) on a Heavy 9. He completely controlled the race to take out the G2 Roman Consul (1200m) on a final Heavy 10 start.

The best of Bordeaux

Tim Clark (53kg)
Kacy Fogden
3ansC (b) Snitzel x Château Cheval

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